Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.030655 0.035658 0.041165 0.047668 0.055130 0.063417 0.073309
2025-10-12 0.024031 0.030767 0.038858 0.049260 0.062245 0.077885 0.098112
2025-10-19 0.018339 0.025557 0.034917 0.047874 0.065267 0.087716 0.118788
2025-10-26 0.014668 0.022043 0.032277 0.047394 0.069008 0.098624 0.142065
2025-11-02 0.011717 0.018863 0.029410 0.045929 0.070921 0.107031 0.162785
2025-11-09 0.009585 0.016436 0.027133 0.044800 0.072926 0.115539 0.184402
2025-11-16 0.008158 0.014822 0.025774 0.044752 0.076382 0.126384 0.210537
2025-11-23 0.006820 0.013094 0.023920 0.043553 0.077714 0.133908 0.232125
2025-11-30 0.006229 0.012562 0.023973 0.045514 0.084441 0.150737 0.270488
2025-12-07 0.005461 0.011562 0.023028 0.045543 0.087755 0.162102 0.300729
2025-12-14 0.004638 0.010302 0.021406 0.044067 0.088113 0.168277 0.322432
2025-12-21 0.004061 0.009439 0.020405 0.043608 0.090243 0.177736 0.350845
2025-12-28 0.003837 0.009300 0.020852 0.046118 0.098483 0.199486 0.404563
2026-01-04 0.003551 0.008975 0.020869 0.047755 0.105194 0.219045 0.456164
2026-01-11 0.003066 0.008104 0.019584 0.046455 0.105725 0.226619 0.485191
2026-01-18 0.002712 0.007480 0.018750 0.046011 0.107983 0.237829 0.522547
2026-01-25 0.002345 0.006753 0.017564 0.044598 0.107935 0.244254 0.550669
2026-02-01 0.002048 0.006151 0.016580 0.043506 0.108448 0.251861 0.581946
2026-02-08 0.001845 0.005765 0.016064 0.043462 0.111345 0.264856 0.625986
2026-02-15 0.001614 0.005253 0.015151 0.042296 0.111434 0.271619 0.656913
2026-02-22 0.001543 0.005197 0.015425 0.044205 0.119206 0.296509 0.730903
2026-03-01 0.001402 0.004901 0.015006 0.044234 0.122298 0.310863 0.782014
2026-03-08 0.001225 0.004454 0.014094 0.042798 0.121481 0.315891 0.811762